In the global stock markets, which followed a buying-heavy course with the third quarter company profitability that exceeded the expectations last week, it is seen that the risk factors increased the effect at the opening of the new week.
While the Chinese economy grew by 4.9 percent in the third quarter, performing below expectations, the slowdown in the housing sector, the problems in energy supply and the measures taken to prevent the new type of coronavirus (Kovid-19) epidemic were effective in the slowdown in growth.
Commodity prices, which continue to rise in addition to the problems in the supply chain, continue to feed inflation fears.
The pound price of copper, which broke a weekly closing record of $4.72 by rising 12 percent last week, started the new week with an increase of 1.6 percent. Continuing its upward trend for eight consecutive weeks, the barrel price of Brent oil rose to $85.2 with a 1 percent gain in Asian markets today.
However, while concerns about energy supply continue to be another factor that continues to negatively affect investor confidence, it is expected that the 3rd quarter financial results and intense data flow that will continue this week may increase the volatility in the equity markets.
On the last trading day of last week, S&P 500 index gained 0.75 percent, Dow Jones index gained 1.09 percent and Nasdaq index gained 0.50 percent in New York stock market.
While the dollar index was at 94.1 levels with an increase of 0.2 percent today, the US 10-year bond yield rose to 1.61% with the increasing risk factors. On the other hand, US index futures contracts started the new week with a sales-heavy course.
On the European side, different inflation assessments of the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and the Bank of England (BoE) President Andrew Bailey drew attention last week.
In his statements at the weekend, ECB President Lagarde stated that inflation is temporary and the ECB will maintain its supportive monetary policy stance, while BoE Chairman Bailey stated that they can take action if necessary to prevent inflation pressures.
On the other hand, natural gas prices, which have been on the agenda of Europe for a while, and possible delays in goods trade due to problems in the supply chain continue to feed inflation concerns in Europe.
On Friday, FTSE 100 index gained 0.37 percent in England, DAX 30 index gained 0.81 percent in Germany, CAC 40 index gained 0.63 percent in France and FTSE MIB 30 index gained 0.81 percent in Italy.
While the euro/dollar parity is around 1.1580, it is seen that the European index futures contracts started the new week with a mixed movement.
While the Chinese influence is prominent in Asian stock markets, a mixed outlook is striking in the announced macroeconomic data. Accordingly, retail sales rose by 4.4 percent year-on-year, far surpassing expectations, while industrial production fell by 3.1 percent, below market forecasts.
Yi Gang, Chairman of the People's Bank of China (PBoC), stated that they can cope with the economic risks created by China's real estate companies, while the relaxation in credit channels for the housing sector in China draws attention.
In New Zealand, inflation, which rose to the highest level of the last 10 years with an increase of 4.9 percent, increased the concerns in the region, while economists predicted that the Central Bank of New Zealand would increase interest rates by 50 basis points at the meeting in November.
With these developments, the Nikkei 225 index lost 0.23 percent in Japan, 0.39 percent in Shanghai composite index, 0.16 percent in Kospi index in South Korea and 0.51 percent in Hang Seng index in Hong Kong. .
Domestically, on Friday, the BIST 100 index in Borsa Istanbul diverged negatively from the global stock markets and closed the day at 1,409.56 points with a decrease of 0.16%. Dollar/TL, on the other hand, saw its historical peak with 9.2860 today, after closing at 9.2574 in the international market on Friday, and is trading at 9.2800 levels at the opening of the interbank market.
Analysts stated that today, together with the housing price index in the country and the industrial production and capacity utilization data in the USA abroad, the statements of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials will be followed.
Stating that the company's financial results, which continue to be announced on a global basis, may trigger share-based price movements, analysts stated that technically, 1,396 points in the BIST 100 index are in the position of support and the level of 1.420 is in the position of resistance.
The data to be followed in the markets today are as follows:
14.30 Turkey, August house price index
16.15 The USA, September industrial production
16.15 The USA, September capacity utilization
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